FX perspectives: Can The Unexpected Strength In DXY Continue? Citi Wealth Insights
It also is the parent company of the well-known New York Stock Exchange. A surging DXY doesn’t automatically mean markets will fall, but it can weigh down stocks, bitcoin, and gold. There is some debate in the currency markets that the US Dollar Index should be reformulated to include currencies from emerging markets that have become larger US trading partners, such as China and Mexico. A DXY graph shows that the index fell steadily until it bottomed out in 2008, when the global financial crisis prompted a flight to safe-haven financial assets like the global reserve currency.
In the wide world of forex, the USDX can be used as an indicator of the U.S. dollar’s strength. If you don’t, the USDX will still give you an idea of the relative strength of the U.S. dollar around the world. Over the last few months especially, there’s been a lot of focus in the world of Currency Trading upon the state of the US Dollar. No matter what your opinion is of the Greenback, it is still, without question, regarded as the world’s primary reserve currency and holds its xdirect iap rs485 device svr weight of recognition across the board.
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- A DXY graph shows that the index fell steadily until it bottomed out in 2008, when the global financial crisis prompted a flight to safe-haven financial assets like the global reserve currency.
- Since the 1980s, it has become tradable as a futures contract, and speculators have been using it as a way to speculate on the movement of the US Dollar against a basket of other major currencies.
- Intermarket analysis involves analysing the correlations between the DXY and other markets, such as commodities, stocks, and bonds.
- Thomas J Catalano is a CFP and Registered Investment Adviser with the state of South Carolina, where he launched his own financial advisory firm in 2018.
Intermarket analysis
The US dollar is the most widely used and recognized currency worldwide. Central banks and governments hold US dollars as the primary exchange asset of their foreign exchange reserves. As well as being a trader, Milan writes daily analysis for the Axi community, using his extensive knowledge of financial markets to provide unique insights and commentary.
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ICE provides live feeds for Dow Futures that appear on Bloomberg.com and CNN Money. Dollar markets are open, which is from Sunday evening New York City local time (early interactive brokers vs charles schwab Monday morning Asia time) for 24 hours a day to late Friday afternoon New York City local time. If you liked this piece, check out my free newsletter for how-to guides and investment insights across crypto, stocks, metals, and more. As a global currency benchmark, DXY trading hours run 21 hours a day Sunday – Friday on the ICE platform, with the hours depending on the time zone. The DXY was primarily developed as a reference for US external trade, and the ability to trade the Dollar Index futures was introduced later, in 1985, with options trading following in 1986.
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Trading on the index is maintained by the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE). The USDX can be a proxy for the health of the U.S. economy and traders can use it to speculate on the dollar’s change in value or as a hedge against currency exposure. An index value of 120 suggests that the U.S. dollar has appreciated 20% versus the basket of currencies over a particular time period. Simply put, if the USDX goes up, that means the U.S. dollar is getting stronger in value compared to the other currencies.
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Fundamental analysis involves analysing economic data, news, and events that may impact the value of the US dollar and the DXY. Traders can track key economic indicators such as GDP, inflation, employment data, and interest rate decisions, and use this information to make informed trading decisions. These currencies are chosen because they represent some of the largest and most liquid currencies in the world, and are often used as benchmarks in global financial transactions. The Euro, being the largest constituent in the basket, has the most significant impact on the overall value of the index. The weightings are revised periodically to ensure that the basket remains representative of the global forex market. DXY saw a period of relative stability in the early 2000s, hovering around the 100 mark.
The US Dollar index rises when the USD rises relative to a basket of the above-mentioned currencies and vice versa. As one can see from the index structure, the Euro and other European currencies have the upper hand here. Inflation or deflation of any currency, monetary policy, geopolitical conflicts, and export/import ratios, just to name a few. The U.S. Dollar is the world’s reserve currency, and as such usually maintains high demand. The DAX 40 is a stock market index made up of 40 of the largest companies listed on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange including Adidas, Volkswagen, and Siemens.